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1.6T产品加速放量!投行再次上调中际旭创目标价至1650元

发布时间:2026-07-08 15:24:30
6月12日消息 日前,美国银行发布研报,将中际旭创目标价从此前的1100元上调至1650元(对应2027年25倍市盈率),此前目标价基于2026年下半年至2027年上半年30倍市盈率。报告将中际旭创2026-2028年盈利预测上调16%-70%,以反映2027年1.6T产品的强劲需求,以及新业务带来的增量贡献。报告预计,1.6T与NPO产品将在2027年分别贡献公司营收的约68%和14%。报告预计,1.6T产品的需求将在2027年进一步走强,并延续至2028年。我们预计2026/2027年全球1.6T光模块出货量将分别达到2000万/5600万只,而中际旭创的市占率有望在2027年继续维持在40%以上。除了1.6T产品,NPO也是个热点。报告预计NPO产品的需求在2027年的可见度正在持续提升。根据测算,每500万只NPO订单可带来超过100亿元的利润增量。同时,市场上关于谷歌2.4T相干Lite(Coherent-Lite)方案的讨论也在增多,该方案有望由谷歌率先采用。这表明高价值的相干光模块正从跨系统互联向单系统内扩展架构演进。
英文内容
The volume of 1.6T products is accelerating! The investment bank once again raised the target price of Zhongji InnoLight to 1,650 yuan. News on June 12 Recently, Bank of America issued a research report, raising the target price of Zhongji InnoLight to 1,650 yuan from the previous 1,100 yuan (corresponding to a price-earnings ratio of 25 times in 2027). The previous target price was based on a price-earnings ratio of 30 times from the second half of 2026 to the first half of 2027. The report raises Zhongji InnoLight's profit forecast for 2026-2028 by 16%-70% to reflect the strong demand for 1.6T products in 2027 and the incremental contribution from new businesses. The report predicts that 1.6T and NPO products will contribute approximately 68% and 14% of the company's revenue respectively in 2027. The report predicts that demand for 1.6T products will further strengthen in 2027 and continue to 2028. We predict that global 1.6T optical module shipments will reach 20 million/56 million units respectively in 2026/2027, and Zhongji InnoLight's market share is expected to remain above 40% in 2027. In addition to 1.6T products, NPO is also a hot spot. The report predicts that the demand for NPO products will continue to increase in visibility in 2027. According to estimates, every 5 million NPO orders can bring an increase in profit of more than 10 billion yuan. At the same time, there is also increasing discussion in the market about Google s 2.4T Coherent-Lite solution, which is expected to be adopted first by Google. This shows that high-value coherent optical modules are evolving from cross-system interconnection to an expansion architecture within a single system
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